FNUS73 KDMX 110000 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR DOGLETG...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 600 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CST ON JANUARY 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. PLEASE REMEMBER TO SUBMIT A MID BURN OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY...PASSING THROUGH POLK AND JASPER COUNTIES BETWEEN 9 AM AND NOON. AS THE FRONT PASSES WINDS WILL WHIP AROUND TO NORTH NORTHWEST AND BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ALSO PLUMMET BEHIND THE FRONT AS COLDER...DRIER AIR SURGES INTO THE AREA. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 40. RH..................85 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 62 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 14 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH AROUND 36 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (95400 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 14 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........41 51 60 65 67 72 77 82 87 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RS RS RS RS RS RS TSTM COV........ TEMP............33 35 36 37 38 38 39 37 34 RH..............85 78 79 75 70 67 62 64 69 20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 14 16 18 20 21 22 22 22 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 EYE LVL WND DIR.W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.9 10 11 13 14 15 16 16 16 EYE LVL WND GST.15 20 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.7 2.6 3.4 3.3 3.1 MIXNG WIND DIR..W W NW N N N N N N MIXNG WIND SPD..5 8 14 20 24 28 31 33 36 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 17. RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 22 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 33 TO 38 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (129900 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........89 86 81 78 80 82 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW TSTM COV........ TEMP............32 29 27 25 23 22 RH..............72 69 60 55 54 49 20 FT WIND......NW 22 NW 22 NW 21 NW 20 NW 20 NW 20 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 30 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 16 NW 16 NW 15 NW 14 NW 14 NW 14 EYE LVL WND GST.30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....2900 3000 3300 3800 4100 4400 MIXNG WIND......N 37 N 38 N 37 NW 35 NW 35 NW 35 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 21. RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 23 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 29 TO 33 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (134400 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........84 84 83 75 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR TSTM COV........ TEMP............21 18 20 21 RH..............47 51 43 43 20 FT WIND......NW 20G30 NW 22G30 NW 23G30 NW 21G30 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 14G30 NW 16G30 NW 16G30 NW 15G30 MIX HGT (FT)....4400 4800 5000 5000 MIXNG WIND......NW 33 NW 32 NW 30 NW 29 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...LEE REQUESTED BY...JAMES KRIZMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120111.DOGLE.01/DMX