FNUS73 KDMX 111049 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR DOGLETG...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 449 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CST ON JANUARY 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. PLEASE REMEMBER TO SUBMIT A MID BURN OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY... .DISCUSSION... A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE STATE TODAY AND WILL PROVIDE VERY GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND CHANCES OF LIGHT SNOW BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT LOOKS TO BE BETWEEN 11 AM TO 1 PM CST TODAY FOR THE FORECAST AREA WITH AN ABRUPT SHIFT IN WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. LIKELY TO SEE SOME GUSTS TO NEAR 45 MPH BY THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 45. RH..................72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 1 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH 26 TO 35 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (48600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (82900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........36 41 51 56 62 74 80 84 92 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN TSTM COV........ TEMP............36 39 41 44 42 39 37 34 32 RH..............72 67 65 60 62 67 70 72 72 20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 9 13 15 18 22 25 24 24 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 20 25 30 30 30 35 EYE LVL WND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.5 6 9 11 13 16 18 17 17 EYE LVL WND GST.10 15 20 20 25 30 30 30 35 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.7 MIXNG WIND DIR..SW W NW N N N N N N MIXNG WIND SPD..1 5 10 16 21 26 30 33 35 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 16. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 24 TO 28 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 33 TO 37 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (100800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (111000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 24 TO 28 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........96 95 95 94 93 92 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW TSTM COV........ TEMP............29 25 22 21 20 19 RH..............75 78 74 68 64 61 20 FT WIND......NW 24 NW 26 NW 28 NW 26 NW 25 NW 25 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 35 35 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 17 NW 18 NW 20 NW 18 NW 18 NW 18 EYE LVL WND GST.35 35 35 35 35 35 MIX HGT (FT)....2900 2000 2000 2900 3100 3400 MIXNG WIND......N 36 N 35 N 35 N 37 N 37 NW 37 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 18. RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 26 TO 28 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 33 TO 37 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (115800 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 26 TO 28 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........91 92 92 92 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW TSTM COV........ TEMP............18 16 17 18 RH..............59 61 56 53 20 FT WIND......NW 26G35 NW 26G35 NW 26G35 NW 28G35 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 18G35 NW 18G35 NW 18G35 NW 20G35 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 3600 3800 4000 MIXNG WIND......NW 37 NW 36 NW 33 NW 33 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...PODRAZIK REQUESTED BY...JAMES KRIZMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120111.DOGLE.01/DMX