FNUS73 KGRR 101633
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR HAMLIN MARSH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1133 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON JANUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS WILL STAY DRY.  THE WINDS STARTING THE DAY WILL BE SOUTH
AND BECOME SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY.  A LAKE BREEZE WILL TRY TO FORM
AND MOVE INLAND...BUT AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THE SOUTHEAST WIND
WILL LIKELY LIMIT THE INLAND MOVEMENT OF THE LAKE BREEZE.   SOME
UNCERTAINTY AS FAR AS HOW LOW THE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL DROP OFF IN THE
AFTERNOON...AND THE MIN RH VALUE AND MIXING HEIGHTS MAY BE TOO HIGH
GIVEN THE FLOW.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 45.
RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 100-600 FT
                    AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR TO POOR).

$$
FORECASTER...MJS
REQUESTED BY...JOE RASPOTNIK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120111.HAMLI.01/GRR