FNUS76 KMFR 110654
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PANTHER HANDPILES...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1054 PM PST TUE JAN 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON JANUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED TO THE NORTH AND EAST WILL CAUSE
MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS OVER AND DOWNWIND OF THE RIDGES
FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. DUE TO THE COMPLEXITIES OF THE
TERRAIN IN THIS AREA SIGNIFICANT VARIATIONS IN WIND SPEED AND
DIRECTION MAY OCCUR AT TIMES. SLATER BUTTE AND DUTCH INDY WERE USED
AS THE NEAREST REPRESENTATIVE RAWS FOR THIS FORECAST. THE OFFSHORE
FLOW IS LIKELY TO BE STRONGEST THIS MORNING...PEAKING MID TO LATE
MORNING ACROSS THE RIDGES. THIS AFTERNOON THIS OFFSHORE FLOW
SHOULD WEAKEN SOME. LOCALIZED UPSLOPE FLOW ON THE SOUTHWEST FACING
SLOPES TODAY MAY RESULT IN CALMER WINDS THAN FORECAST MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BE
ONLY SLIGHTLY WEAKER THAN THIS MORNING'S.


.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-32 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 12-17 MPH WITH GUSTS 15-20 MPH TOP
                    AND EAST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS 9-14 MPH BOTTOM
                    IN THE MORNING. WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS 9 TO 14 MPH AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......SURFACE EARLY BECOMING 1000-2000 FT AGL
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 20 TO 30 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 10-20
                    MPH AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39 BOTTOM TO 39-46 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-50 BOTTOM TO 20-30 PERCENT TOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....INCREASING TO EAST-NORTHEAST 9-15 WITH GUSTS
                    12-17 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO THE SURFACE.
MIXING WINDS........INCREASING TO NORTHEAST 15-25 MPH OVERNIGHT.


.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST-NORTHEAST 9-15 WITH GUSTS 12-17 MPH
                    MORNING BECOMING NORTHEAST 5-11 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS 8-13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......SURFACE EARLY BECOMING 500-1500 FT AGL
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 15-25 MPH BECOMING 10-20 MPH
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...RAY WILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120111.PANTH.01/MFR