FNUS75 KPUB 111340
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCCOY GULCH PILES...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
640 AM MST WED JAN 11 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH WINDY AND
SNOWY CONDITIONS.  NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY THIS MORNING
AND SHOULD SHIFT NORTHEASTERLY BY LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.  GUSTS WILL APPROACH 30 MPH WITH THE
FRONT AND COULD GUST HIGHER DEPENDING ON CANYON EFFECTS.  WINDS
WILL RETURN NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN BY LATE AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.
SNOW HAS STARTED TO DEVELOPED UP CANYON AND WILL SPREAD EAST TO THE
BURN SITE THROUGH 0700 AND PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  SNOW WILL
BE LIGHT WITH ONLY AN INCH EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.  SNOW WILL COME
TO AN END BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH CLEARING CONDITIONS TONIGHT WHICH
WILL ALLOW FOR VERY COLD TEMPERATURES TONIGHT.

NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS COLORADO BY THURSDAY WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE WEST.  EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND WARMING TEMPERATURES.

SMOKE DISPERSALS WILL BE POOR THIS MORNING WITH GENERALLY GOOD
CONDITIONS FOR THIS AFTERNOON GIVEN THE STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE
REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
                    AFTER 0700 UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35F...NEAR STEADY EARLY AND FALLING THIS
                    AFTERNOON TO 25-30F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 5 TO 8 WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.  TURNING EAST
                    NORTHEAST 10 O 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 28 MPH AT
                    1000.  WINDS WILL SHIFT BACK NORTHWEST 10 TO
                    15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 24 MPH AT 1400.  WINDS
                    WILL REMAIN NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN TO 4 TO 8
                    MPH AFTER 1700.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW UNTIL 1500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....3-8F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 6000 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...TY WEBB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120111.MCCOY.01/PUB