FNUS74 KLIX 152321
FWSLIX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE HOLE FIRE...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
521 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS THE AREA.
RAIN CHANCES RETURN ON TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RETURN BY MID WEEK ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS.

1 - WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO CALM COMPLETELY...BUT WE ARE FORECASTING
LIGHT WINDS (LESS THAN 5 MPH) THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. ASSUMING WINDS
DO NOT CALM COMPLETELY...DIRECTION SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH OR
SOUTHEAST.

2 - IF WINDS DO BECOME CALM...THEY COULD REMAIN CALM FOR A FEW HOURS NEAR
AND SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MOST MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN DURING THE EARLY MORNING AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS OVER THE REGION.

3 - LIGHT FOG (VISIBILITY STILL A FEW MILES) MAY DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND
LAST THROUGH DAYBREAK IF WINDS REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY LIGHT OR BECOME CALM.
HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF LIGHT FOG AND SMOKE COULD REDUCE VISIBILITY
MORE SIGNIFICANTLY IF WINDS DO CALM AND SMOKE IS ABLE TO SETTLE NEAR THE
INTERSTATE.  ANY VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS SHOULD BE QUICK TO EASE AFTER
SUNRISE AS WINDS ARE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY 9 OR 10 AM.


.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........39     39     39     51     51     51
WEATHER COV.....                     PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG    FOG
TEMP............55     52     48     44     44     44
RH..............57     71     86     93     96     100
20 FT WIND......SE 3   SE 3   SE 4   SE 4   SE 4   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 3   SE 3   SE 4   SE 4   SE 4   SE 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..5      5      5      5      5      10
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14  SE 14  SE 18  S 22   S 22   S 23
TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 6   SE 6   SE 8   S 10   S 10   S 10

.MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........68     68     68     76     76     76
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............45     50     62     68     71     69
RH..............100    100    72     63     59     66
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 6   SE 7   SE 10  SE 10  SE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     20     20     20
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 5   SE 6   SE 7   SE 10  SE 10  SE 10
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     10     15     20     20     20
TRANSPORT WIND..S 23   S 23   S 24   S 25   S 25   S 26
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 10   S 10   S 11   S 11   S 11   S 12

$$
FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS
REQUESTED BY...MIKE KHAYAT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120115.BLUEH.01/LIX