FNUS72 KMHX 151248
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RUNWAY...CHERRY POINT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
748 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HUMIDITY NEAR 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH BREEZY NORTH WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL
MOVE OFF THE COAST EARLY THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON AND BE OVER THE AREA MONDAY. THE HIGH
WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TUESDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST BY 10 AM...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    17 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............27     19     21     0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................41     43     46     45
RH..................50     43     35     35
20 FT WIND..........N 11   N 11   N 10   N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     20     15     15
LVORI...............2      1      1      1
ADI.................10     43     54     55
HAINES INDEX........3      3      3      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      0      0      4
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................38     33     31     29     28     27
RH..................48     58     61     63     63     68
20 FT WIND..........N 8    N 6    N 5    N 5    N 4    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     10                   5      5
LVORI...............1      2      3      3      3      3
ADI.................36     10     7      4      4      3

$$
FORECASTER...MERRELL
REQUESTED BY...JOHN MANGUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120115.RUNWA.01/MHX