FNUS75 KGJT 180410
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOWN PILES...PAGOSA FIRE PROTECTION DIST.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
910 PM MST TUE JAN 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1505 MST ON JANUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE JET STREAM SAGS INTO NORTHWEST COLORADO WEDNESDAY
MORNING BEFORE IT PUSHES ONTO THE PLAINS. THIS WILL BRING WARMER MORE
STABLE TEMPERATURES ALOFT...BUT ALSO STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. ALL
MODELS ARE INDICATING THE WEST WINDS WILL MIX DOWN TO THE BURN SITE
THIS AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 3-5 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD (61000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...DAVID HARTMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120117.TOWNP.01/GJT