FNUS76 KMFR 170532
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PANTHER PILES...MEDFORD BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
932 PM PST MON JAN 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1650 PST ON JANUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD AND SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER
THE BURN AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. THE BURN AREA WILL SEE SOME SNOW
SHOWERS BUT SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT. ALL THIS WILL CHANGE TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WHEN THE FIRST OF A SERIES OF WINDY AND WET
STORMS WILL MOVE IN. INITIALLY THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS SNOW...
BUT WILL CHANGE TO RAIN WEDNESDAY.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-42.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-49 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-12 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
                    WINDS LIGHTER AT LOWER ELEVATIONS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL RISING TO 6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH AT THE
                    HIGHER ELEVATIONS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 15-20 MPH
                    GUSTING TO 30 MPH. WINDS LIGHTER AT LOWER
                    ELEVATIONS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-46.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-64 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15-20 MPH GUSTING TO 30 MPH AT THE
                    HIGHER ELEVATIONS BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
                    15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. WINDS LIGHTER
                    AT LOWER ELEVATIONS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL RISING TO 2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...STOCKTON
REQUESTED BY...JERRY SERABIA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120117.PANTH.01/MFR