FNUS72 KTAE 171312
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 70...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
812 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON JANUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TODAY AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATER
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH A ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS UP TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
WITH DISPERSION VALUES EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 50S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........51.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........72     79     86     86     88
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............57     64     69     71     69
RH..............98     88     72     68     73
20 FT WIND......SE 3   S 5    S 10   S 7    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........88     90     91     91     92     93
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............67     64     63     62     62     61
RH..............80     89     91     95     98     100
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 5    S 5    S 6    S 6    SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH.
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 13 TO
                    18 MPH.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........93     93     76     76     59     41
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............60     60     61     62     62     63
RH..............99     93     81     66     57     54
20 FT WIND......W 7    NW 7   NW 7   N 10   N 10   N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     20     20     15

$$
FORECASTER...DON VAN DYKE
REQUESTED BY...DAVID QUISENBERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120117.BURNU.01/TAE