FNUS75 KBOU 181249 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST PORTAL...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 542 AM MST WED JAN 18 2012 ...A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STRONG JET STREAM WILL PRODUCE HIGH WINDS OVER THE FOOTHILLS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SOME DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS IS LIKELY AFTER THAT BUT IT WILL REMAIN WINDY. WINDS WILL BE STRONG EVEN IN MOST SHELTERED AREAS...AND EVEN WHERE WINDS ARE LIGHTER STRONG GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE. THERE MAY BE SOME LIGHT SNOW BLOWING OVER THE MOUNTAINS...BUT LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE. I REDUCED WIND SPEEDS FROM THE TABLE A BIT DUE TO TERRAIN BLOCKING...BUT STILL REALLY WINDY! ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38. MIN HUMIDITY........22-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......STRONG WINDS. WEST WINDS 20-30 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN 30-45 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 80 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-25. MAX HUMIDITY........60-70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......STRONG WINDS. WEST WINDS 30-45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 80 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40. MIN HUMIDITY........40-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 29-39 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN 21-29 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 40-60 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 33-44 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR EAST PORTAL. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/18-05 89 7 1 18 61 NW14 21 2 1NW113 4604 W70 280892 E 01/18-06 89 7 1 15 63 W18 28 2 1NW114 4063 W71 250573 E 01/18-07 89 7 1 12 59 W28 41 2 1NW114 3522 W73 220253 E 01/18-08 89 7 1 14 46 W36 54 2 1NW114 2980 W74 189934 E 01/18-09 89 7 1 18 40 W39 59 2 1NW109 3489 W77 238268 E 01/18-10 89 7 1 24 34 W41 62 2 1NW105 3999 W82 286602 E 01/18-11 91 38 16 28 31 W43 64 2 1NW102 4508 W85 334936 E 01/18-12 91 38 16 31 29 W44 67 2 1NW102 4472 W87 338317 E 01/18-13 91 38 16 33 28 W45 68 2 1NW106 4436 W89 341698 E 01/18-14 91 38 16 33 28 W46 69 2 1NW108 4400 W90 345079 E 01/18-15 91 38 16 33 29 W47 70 2 1NW110 4060 W90 315274 E 01/18-16 91 38 16 31 31 W47 70 2 1NW112 3719 W89 285470 E 01/18-17 93 26 6 30 34 W47 71 2 1NW113 3379 W87 255666 E 01/18-18 93 26 6 29 39 W47 71 2 1NW112 3229 W85 239492 E 01/18-19 93 26 6 29 45 W47 70 2 1NW109 3079 W83 223318 E 01/18-20 93 26 6 29 50 W47 70 2 1 W107 2929 W82 207145 E 01/18-21 93 26 6 29 52 W47 71 2 1 W102 2885 W79 199820 E 01/18-22 93 26 6 29 53 W48 73 2 1 W97 2842 W78 192495 E 01/18-23 92 26 6 28 56 W48 73 2 1 W92 2798 W76 185170 E 01/19-00 92 26 6 26 59 W48 73 2 1 W87 2628 W76 172526 E 01/19-01 92 26 6 25 63 W47 70 2 1 NW85 2457 W75 159881 E 01/19-02 92 26 6 24 66 W46 68 2 1 NW83 2287 W74 147237 V 01/19-03 92 26 6 22 71 W44 67 2 1 NW82 2172 W71 135800 V 01/19-04 92 26 6 22 71 W43 63 2 1 NW81 2057 W69 124364 V 01/19-05 66 23 5 22 72 W40 60 2 1 NW82 1942 W67 112927 V 01/19-06 66 23 5 26 62 W37 55 2 1 NW82 1758 W63 98406 G 01/19-07 66 23 5 27 63 W33 51 2 1 NW83 1574 W61 83885 G 01/19-08 66 23 5 22 76 W30 45 2 1 W84 1389 W58 69364 G 01/19-09 66 23 5 24 74 W28 44 2 1 W93 788 W33 25378 P 01/19-10 66 23 5 27 68 W25 40 2 1 W91 1336 W36 44201 F 01/19-11 66 23 5 31 60 W24 39 2 1 W89 1884 W38 63025 G 01/19-12 66 23 5 34 53 W24 39 2 1 W86 2308 W40 82493 G 01/19-13 66 23 5 35 50 W25 41 2 1 W84 2732 W43 101961 V 01/19-14 66 23 5 36 48 W26 43 2 1 W83 3156 W44 121429 V 01/19-15 66 23 5 36 47 W25 39 2 1 W81 2794 W40 101112 V 01/19-16 66 23 5 34 48 W23 37 2 1 W78 2431 W37 80795 G 01/19-17 62 23 4 32 52 W22 35 2 1 W76 2069 W33 60478 G 01/19-18 62 23 4 30 55 W24 39 2 1 W75 1779 W35 52818 F 01/19-19 62 23 4 29 56 W28 44 2 1 W73 1488 W36 45159 F 01/19-20 62 23 4 28 59 W30 48 2 1 W70 1197 W36 37500 P 01/19-21 62 23 4 27 61 W29 47 2 1 W69 1168 W37 37547 P 01/19-22 62 23 4 26 63 W28 45 2 1 W67 1140 W38 37594 P 01/19-23 63 23 5 26 63 W26 43 2 1 W64 1111 W39 37641 P 01/20-00 63 23 5 26 63 W28 44 2 1 W62 1191 W40 42082 F 01/20-01 63 23 5 26 63 W29 46 2 1 W60 1272 W41 46522 F 01/20-02 63 23 5 26 64 W30 48 2 1 W58 1352 W44 50963 F 01/20-03 63 23 5 26 65 W29 45 2 1 W54 1363 W43 50927 F 01/20-04 63 23 5 24 69 W26 41 2 1 W52 1374 W43 50892 F 01/20-05 49 18 4 25 68 W24 39 2 1 W51 1385 W43 50856 F 01/20-06 49 18 4 24 71 W24 39 2 1 W52 1445 W41 51284 F 01/20-07 49 18 4 24 71 W25 40 2 1 W54 1506 W39 51712 F 01/20-08 49 18 4 25 70 W25 40 2 1 W56 1567 W38 52140 F 01/20-09 49 18 4 27 62 W24 39 2 1 W59 2818 W40 105204 V 01/20-10 49 18 4 30 57 W24 38 2 1 W61 4068 W44 158267 E 01/20-11 45 18 2 33 52 W23 37 2 1 W62 5319 W46 211331 E 01/20-12 45 18 2 35 50 W23 38 2 1 W62 5734 W47 236334 E 01/20-13 45 18 2 36 51 W24 39 2 1 W61 6148 W48 261337 E 01/20-14 45 18 2 36 53 W24 39 2 1 W60 6563 W51 286340 E 01/20-15 45 18 2 36 56 W22 36 2 1 W60 6468 W51 283022 E 01/20-16 45 18 2 34 62 W20 32 2 1 W59 6373 W51 279704 E 01/20-17 44 9 2 32 69 W18 30 2 1 W58 6277 W51 276386 E 01/20-18 44 9 2 30 72 W18 30 2 1 NW58 5748 W47 237603 E 01/20-19 44 9 2 29 70 W20 31 2 1 NW56 5219 W43 198820 E 01/20-20 44 9 2 27 71 W21 33 2 1 NW55 4689 W39 160037 E 01/20-21 44 9 2 27 70 W21 33 2 1 NW55 4484 W36 141543 V 01/20-22 44 9 2 26 71 W21 33 2 1 NW54 4280 W32 123050 V 01/20-23 42 9 2 26 71 W21 33 2 1 NW53 4075 W30 104556 V 01/21-00 42 9 2 26 73 W21 33 2 1 NW52 3620 W29 90775 G 01/21-01 42 9 2 26 76 W22 35 2 1 NW49 3166 W28 76994 G 01/21-02 42 9 2 25 81 W22 35 2 1 W48 2712 W26 63213 G 01/21-03 42 9 2 25 86 W22 35 2 1 W47 2426 W25 54623 F 01/21-04 42 9 2 24 96 W21 33 3 1 W45 2140 W24 46032 F 01/21-05 48 16 3 24 99 W20 31 3 1 W44 1854 W23 37442 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...SHAWN PHILLIPS REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120118.EASTP.01/BOU