FNUS75 KGJT 181131
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFER CREEK...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
431 AM MST WED JAN 18 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON JANUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MST THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...STRONG WINDS WILL BE MAINLY LIMITED TO ABOVE 10,000
FEET BUT CANNOT RULE OUT GUSTS MIXING DOWN TO THE BURN SITE THIS
AFTERNOON. EVEN WITHOUT GUSTY WINDS...SMOKE WILL QUICKLY DISPERSE
TO THE EAST. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE LATE TODAY WITH SNOW SHOWERS
STARTING TONIGHT. BREEZES AND SHOWERS CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....27-32 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35
                    MPH. ISOLATED GUST TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT 1000 INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 45 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.
                    SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....21-26 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 50 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 50 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.
                    SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-33 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    50 MPH DECREASING TO 10-20 MPH LATE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 40 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...TOM TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120118.BUFFE.01/GJT