FNUS76 KSEW 182106
FWSSEW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHAKEDOWN SAR...NPS MT RAINER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
106 PM PST WED JAN 18 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1220 PST ON JANUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SEATTLE.

.DISCUSSION....ANOTHER LOW CENTER WILL MOVE INLAND ACROSS CENTRAL
OREGON THURSDAY AND THE PARK WILL BE CLOSE TO THE NORTHERN EDGE OF
THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD. IF YOU END UP JUST OUTSIDE OF THIS
PRECIPITATION SHIELD...THERE WILL BE FEWER CLOUD LAYERS WITH JUST
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS FOR A POSSIBLE BREAK IN THE WEATHER.

FOR FRIDAY...A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE APPROACHING THE REGION LATE
IN THE DAY OFFERING ANOTHER BREAK IN THE WEATHER FOR THE FIRST
HALF TO TWO THIRDS OF THE DAY WITH LIGHTER WINDS.

FOR SATURDAY...MODERATELY STRONG AND MOIST WESTERLY FLOW WILL
LIKELY KEEP THE MOUNTAIN CLOSED IN WITH CLOUDS AND PERIODS OF SNOW
WITH RATHER STRONG WINDS.

 FORECAST FOR 20 FOOT WIND SPEED (VALLEYS AND RIDGE TOPS) ARE 10
 MINUTE AVERAGES REFLECTING RAWS WINDS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PERIODS OF SNOW...TAPERING OFF LATE.
                    ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES ACCUMULATION.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....
PARADISE....AROUND 28.
        CAMP MUIR...AROUND 16.
WIND (MPH)..........
PARADISE....WEST TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH
        CAMP MUIR...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 60 TO 80 MPH EASING TO 40 TO
                    60 MPH LATE.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION
                    1 TO 3 INCHES. MULTIPLE CLOUD LAYERS OBSCURING
                    VARIOUS LEVELS OF THE MOUNTAIN. BREAKS POSSIBLE
                    LATER IN THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
PARADISE....AROUND 30.
        CAMP MUIR...AROUND 20.
WIND (MPH)..........
PARADISE....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH
        CAMP MUIR...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH EASING TO 15 TO
                    25 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING WITH A CHANCE OF
                    LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES. CLOUDS INCREASING LATER
                    IN THE DAY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
PARADISE....AROUND 31.
        CAMP MUIR...AROUND 18.
WIND (MPH)..........
PARADISE....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 20 TO
                    30 MPH.
        CAMP MUIR...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH BECOMING 40 TO 50 MPH.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....
PARADISE....AROUND 30 IN THE MORNING THEN FALLING TO 25
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
        CAMP MUIR...AROUND 15 IN THE MORNING FALLING TO AROUND
                    8 LATE IN THE DAY.
WIND (MPH)..........
PARADISE....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH
        CAMP MUIR...SOUTHWEST 60 TO 80 MPH.


.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY...
INCREASING CLOUDS WITH SNOW DEVELOPING LATE. TEMPERATURES 25 TO 30
PARADISE AND IN THE TEENS CAMP MUIR. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10
TO 25 MPH.
.MONDAY...
PERIODS OF SNOW. TEMPERATURES 25 TO 30 PARADISE AND IN THE TEENS
CAMP MUIR. WEST WINDS 20 TO 35 MPH.
.TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...
PERIODS OF RAIN OR SNOW.

$$
FORECASTER...CERNIGLIA
REQUESTED BY...MOUNT RAINIER NP
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20120118.SHAKE.01/SEW