FNUS73 KAPX 191354 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR MACK LAKE BRUSH PIT...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 854 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0910 EST ON JANUARY 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL BE CROSSING THE BURN SITE RIGHT ABOUT IGNITION TIME...SWITCHING WINDS TO THE WEST (AROUND 280 DEGREES)...WITH INCREASING GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A PERIOD OF SNOW WILL ACCOMPANY THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...TRANSITIONING TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. EXPECT OCCASIONAL LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW SHOWERS AT THE BURN SITE RIGHT ON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. LAKE SNOWS WILL GRADUALLY WIND DOWN THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH WINDS DIMINISHING QUICKLY AS WELL. SKIES WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR OFF LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY...WITH THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SOME VERY LIGHT SNOW ARRIVING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........19 AT IGNITION...MAX 21. RH..................80 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 92 92 92 73 73 73 73 73 WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TEMP............19 18 16 16 16 15 15 14 13 RH..............80 77 73 67 61 61 58 58 61 20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..7 9 10 11 11 11 10 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 25 25 25 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY DURING THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN -2. RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........73 70 70 70 70 70 70 56 56 56 56 56 WEATHER COV.....NUM CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TEMP............12 11 10 9 8 7 7 6 5 5 4 2 RH..............63 66 69 76 79 79 76 76 79 79 83 87 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 15. RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........56 65 65 65 92 92 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE SNSHWR SNSHWR TEMP............1 2 8 12 14 15 RH..............91 91 79 66 64 64 20 FT WIND......SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...DAVID LAWRENCE REQUESTED BY...ANDERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120119.MACKL.01/APX