FNUS71 KAKQ 201151 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR COLES CREEK NORTH...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE (NWR) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 651 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE FROM THE OHIO VALLEY EASTWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLIDE INTO AND ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL AFFECT THE AREA DURING MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 18 MPH...DECREASING TO 7 TO 8 MPH LATE. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (9000-29100 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............47 40 40 39 39 39 38 38 43 48 53 57 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................34 36 37 38 39 39 40 40 40 39 39 37 RH..................75 75 72 69 64 57 54 52 52 50 52 54 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.2 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.5 20 FT WIND DIR......NW N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......8 8 10 10 13 12 10 10 9 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW N N NW NW NW N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....16 17 18 17 16 16 15 14 12 10 8 7 VRATE KT-FT/1000....16 24 25 26 26 26 28 29 23 19 14 9 HAINES INDEX........3 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34. MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 14 TO 16 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (1800-5300 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............62 67 70 73 76 78 81 84 86 88 90 91 WEATHER COV......... LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE........ RN RN RN RN RN TSTM COV............ TEMP................36 35 35 35 35 35 35 36 37 38 39 39 RH..................56 54 56 59 61 61 64 64 67 67 70 73 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 60 60 60 60 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.1 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......NE NE NE E E E E SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE NE NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....6 6 6 7 8 10 14 16 16 16 15 14 VRATE KT-FT/1000....5 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 3 3 HAINES INDEX........4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (2700-13100 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............93 95 94 93 93 92 91 90 90 90 90 90 WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TSTM COV............ TEMP................40 41 41 42 42 43 43 44 43 43 43 42 RH..................73 76 76 76 79 82 86 89 86 86 82 79 CHC OF PCPN (%).....60 70 70 70 70 70 70 50 50 50 50 50 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 20 FT WIND DIR......SE S S SW W W NW NW N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......6 6 6 5 5 6 6 7 8 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 20 20 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE S S SW SW W W NW NW NW NW N TRANSP WIND SPD.....13 13 13 14 14 12 10 9 10 14 16 17 VRATE KT-FT/1000....3 3 3 3 3 5 6 8 9 11 13 13 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 FORECASTER...GINGRICH REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120120.COLES.01/AKQ