FNUS74 KAMA 220445 FWSAMA SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICKEN CREEK FIRE...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 1045 PM CST SAT JAN 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2232 CST ON JANUARY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STRENGTHENING SURFACE TROUGH TO THE WEST OF THE FIRE SITE WILL ALLOW FOR THE SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AFTER 0200 TO 0330 CST AND INCREASE TO SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS BY DAYBREAK AROUND 0600 CST. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FIRE SITE AROUND 0900 TO 1000 CST SUNDAY MORNING. THE COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST WITH SPEEDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH AND GUSTS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 50 TO 60 MPH. THE NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TO AROUND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AROUND 1500 CST AND BECOME NORTH AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH BY 1800 CST SUNDAY EVENING. OVERNIGHT RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES OF 45 TO 50 PERCENT AROUND 0600 CST SUNDAY MORNING WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF AROUND 15 TO 20 PERCENT BY 1600 CST SUNDAY AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37. MAX HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 21 TO 26 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO 40 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO WEST AROUND 35 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............56 49 46 43 41 39 RH..............26 35 40 47 47 48 20 FT WIND......S 21 S 22 S 22 S 22 SW 23 SW 25 20 FT WIND GUST.30 35 35 35 35 40 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF BLOWING DUST IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. NORTHWEST WINDS 28 TO 36 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 8500-10000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 11500-13000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 10500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 8000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 35 TO 43 MPH DECREASING TO 25 TO 31 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE BLDUST BLDUST BLDUST NONE TEMP............38 37 44 51 55 56 RH..............53 51 38 27 22 20 20 FT WIND......W 28 W 31 W 33 NW 36 NW 26 NW 20 20 FT WIND GUST.45 50 55 60 40 30 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...SCHNEIDER REQUESTED BY...ABILENE DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120121.CHICK.01/AMA