FNUS72 KTAE 211249
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR 807G...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
744 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0750 CST ON JANUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...AFTER MORNING FOG DISSIPATES...THE PRIMARY FIRE
WEATHER CONCERN WILL BE THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS...PRIMARILY FOR DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS. HOWEVER THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE NORTH OF THE SPOT FORECAST
AREA. WINDS WILL ALSO BE GUSTY OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WHICH
WILL RESULT IN HIGHER THAN NORMAL DISPERSION INDICES. DISPERSION
INDICES WILL DROP OFF CONSIDERABLY ON SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. SOME STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO
                    POSSIBLY SEVERE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT EARLY INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 21
                    TO 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........MAX 56.

TIME (CST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........91     84     84     76     75
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM   TSTM
TEMP............64     66     68     69     71
RH..............92     91     88     83     78
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 6    S 7    S 7    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 INTO THE EVENING...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-700 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION..........MAX 11.

TIME (CST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........75     87     90     90     86     90
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE AREAS  AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....TSTM   TSTM   RNSHWR FOG    FOG    FOG
TEMP............67     65     63     63     63     63
RH..............88     95     97     98     99     99
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 5    S 4    S 2    S 2    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........MAX 36.

TIME (CST)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........90     90     85     85     90     80
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  AREAS                S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............59     60     63     68     70     71
RH..............94     100    100    95     93     88
20 FT WIND......S 4    S 4    S 5    S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15

$$
FORECASTER...RON BLOCK
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120121.807G_.01/TAE