FNUS75 KGJT 230231
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOMICHI CREEK...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
731 PM MST SUN JAN 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
PACIFIC SHORT WAVE WILL SPLIT AS IT MOVES INTO UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  A CLOSED LOW CIRCULATION WILL FORM OVER
NEW MEXICO BY TUESDAY.  STABLE CONDITIONS WITH COLD MORNING INVERSIONS
WILL ERODE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS UNSETTLED WEATHER ARRIVES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%).
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3200 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9200-14200 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...PAUL FRISBIE
REQUESTED BY...J CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120123.TOMIC.01/GJT