FNUS72 KMFL 231350
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SE3...SEMINOLE TRIBE FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
850 AM EST MON JAN 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A LIGHT TO
MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW TO THE BURN SITE TODAY. THERE HAS BEEN
SOME PATCHY FOG IN THE AREA THIS MORNING, HOWEVER THAT WILL
QUICKLY CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AS THE EARLY MORNING HOURS PROGRESS.
NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TODAY AS THE RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL. MAXIMUM AFTERNOON DISPERSION
VALUES WILL BE IN THE GENERALLY GOOD RANGE AT THE BURN SITE WITH
MIXING HEIGHTS NEAR 3500 FT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........AROUND 81.
RH..................49 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3000-3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 12
                    TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 42 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........40     40     40     40     20     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............76     79     81     79     70     66
RH..............58     52     49     54     73     84
20 FT WIND......E 5    SE 7   SE 7   SE 6   E 5    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   3500   3500   3500   2000   2000
MIXNG WIND......E 10   SE 13  SE 13  SE 12  E 9    E 9
DISPERSION IDX..39     44     44     40     6      6
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      8      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........AROUND 60.
RH..................100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 2 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....40 DECREASING TO 4.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........AROUND 82.
RH..................47 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 13 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 43 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 35 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CARACOZZA
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120123.BCSE3.01/MFL