FNUS74 KEPZ 261710
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR 3 CIRCLES-HP  PM...WILDERNESS RD, GILA NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1010 AM MST THU JAN 26 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0745 MST ON JANUARY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE BURN SITE...WILL KEEP WINDS
LIGHT TODAY WITH DRAINAGES AGAIN DEVELOPING AT TIMES STARTING A FEW HOURS
AFTER SUNDOWN.  THE HIGH WILL MOVE OFF THIS EVENING WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH EXPECTED TO TRACK NEAR THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  THIS WILL BRING
WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH AT THIS TIME...WITH SPEEDS INCREASING A FEW MPH.
FUNNELING THROUGH MIMBRES RIVER DRAINAGE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO ANY INCREASE
IN WIND SPEEDS LATER ON FRIDAY.

GOOD RH RECOVERIES WILL CONTINUE...GIVEN PROXIMITY TO RIVER DRAINAGE AND
EFFICIENT RADIATIVE COOLING OVERNIGHT WITH DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 4 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......4000 KNOT-FEET (POOR) THIS MORNING...INCREASING
                    18000 KNOT-FEET (POOR) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT DRAINAGES DEVELOPING AT TIMES AFTER 2100L...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......18600 KNOT-FEET (POOR) EARLY...DECREASING
                    TO 1800 KNOT-FEET (POOR) LATER IN THE EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......3000 KNOT-FEET (POOR) THIS MORNING...INCREASING
                    70000 KNOT-FEET (GOOD) IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...LIZ CARVER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120126.3CIRC.02/EPZ