FNUS75 KGJT 260524
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOMICHI CREEK...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1024 PM MST WED JAN 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MST ON JANUARY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME WESTERLY ON THURSDAY AND
INCREASE AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST.
INVERSIONS WILL WEAKEN AS COOLER AIR BEGINS TO STREAM OVER THE
AREA. THIS COMBINED WITH AND THE STRONGER FLOW WILL PRODUCE GOOD
SMOKE DISPERSAL IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AS THE WAVE PASSES...WITH GENERALLY GOOD
MIXING EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST AND INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING GOOD IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...
                    THEN DECREASING...8-12 MPH TOWARDS MORNING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12-18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...J  CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120126.TOMIC.01/GJT