FNUS72 KILM 261419 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR COW ISLAND...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 919 AM EST THU JAN 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON JANUARY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTHEAST WILL MOVE PROGRESSIVELY SEAWARD TODAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA TONIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING. IT WILL BE WINDY LATE TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A LINE OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON THE ORDER OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH. ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WILL FILL IN BEHIND THE FRONT AND PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...SHARPLY DROPPING BOTH TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY LEVELS. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 16 TO 23 MPH. MAX WAVE HEIGHT.....0 FEET. MAX ADI.............71. MAX LVORI...........10. TIME (EST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............65 62 63 66 67 70 WEATHER COV......... ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................69 70 70 69 68 67 RH..................73 71 72 73 75 78 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......6 7 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI.................29 49 61 69 71 60 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 23 MPH. MAX WAVE HEIGHT.....0 FEET. MAX ADI.............42. MAX LVORI...........4. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............75 79 84 89 93 100 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................66 65 65 65 65 64 RH..................81 84 85 87 89 89 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 6 S 7 S 8 S 10 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 25 30 LVORI...............3 4 4 4 4 4 ADI.................42 22 29 25 25 18 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0 0 0 0 0 0 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800-5100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 26 MPH...BECOMING WEST 26 TO 33 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX WAVE HEIGHT.....0 FEET. MAX ADI.............85. MAX LVORI...........5. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............100 100 99 98 96 91 WEATHER COV.........WIDSPD WIDSPD CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ISOLTD S CHC ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP................63 61 65 68 69 68 RH..................90 96 81 73 68 69 20 FT WIND..........SW 13 SW 10 SW 10 W 13 W 14 NW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 25 20 25 25 20 LVORI...............4 4 3 3 1 1 ADI.................19 29 37 82 85 82 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...BACON REQUESTED BY...ANGIE CARL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120126.COWIS.01/ILM