FNUS72 KJAX 262046
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR 17 MILES   WOODS IBIS...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
346 PM EST THU JAN 26 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EST ON JANUARY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONT
WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. SOME STORMS
MAY BE STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE BY LATE EVENING AND AROUND MIDNIGHT.
DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT WITH RH VALUES FALLING TO
NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS ON SATURDAY. A SECONDARY FRONT MOVES THROUGH
SUNDAY AND RH VALUES WILL THEN FALL TO 30 PERCENT ACROSS INLAND
AREAS EARLY IN THE WEEK. NO RED FLAGS ARE EXPECTED AS WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH ALONG WITH LOW ERC VALUES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 28 TO 36 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....31.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........50     62     77     87     96     94
WEATHER COV.....                     CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............75     68     67     67     67     66
RH..............57     73     82     85     86     87
20 FT WIND......S 12   S 10   S 10   S 10   S 10   SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.17     16     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3100   2500   2000   1500   1300   1400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 28   S 30   S 32   SW 35  SW 35  SW 32
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION INDX.33     21     14     12     12     12
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     50     80     80
LAL.............1      1      1      2      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0700...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 21 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........92     87     65     45     35     30
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............65     65     65     68     71     70
RH..............91     87     76     60     51     50
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 10  W 12   W 10   W 9    NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   1900   2700   3400   3400   2500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 30   W 26   W 23   W 20   NW 16  NW 13
DISPERSION INDX.13     17     22     58     57     42
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     50     30     20     10     10
LAL.............3      2      2      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...MARLENE BULLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120126.17MIL.02/JAX