FNUS72 KJAX 261339 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR GUANA RIVER WMA...FWC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 839 AM EST THU JAN 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH TO THE EAST...WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASING TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. RH VALUES WILL BE NEAR OR AT CRITICAL LEVELS THIS WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 73. RH..................81 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....51. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........38 44 51 57 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............69 72 73 72 RH..............81 71 68 70 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 13 S 16 S 15 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 2500 2300 1900 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 18 S 21 S 23 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 2300...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL IN THE EVENING...LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....13. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........60 65 69 55 62 90 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............70 67 66 65 64 63 RH..............74 82 87 90 91 93 20 FT WIND......S 14 S 13 S 13 S 12 S 12 SW 13 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1100 900 600 600 900 TRANSPORT WIND..S 23 S 22 S 18 S 14 S 14 SW 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 30 30 20 LAL.............1 1 1 3 3 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70. RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1300...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....52. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...ALLEN REQUESTED BY...TYLER MOSTELLER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120126.GUANA.01/JAX