FNUS72 KMLB 262057
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 4 4B...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
357 PM EST THU JAN 26 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 EST ON JANUARY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL
BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY LATER THIS EVENING...EVENTUALLY BECOMING
SOUTHWEST BY DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA. WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND 9 TO
13 MPH THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH
IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. THESE WIND SPEEDS SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY
WIDESPREAD OR DENSE FOG FORMATION...THOUGH PATCHY GROUND FOG IN
THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE FIRE CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE BURN AREA IN ADVANCE OF THE
FRONT AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT WITH A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO POSSIBLE
WITH THE APPROACH OF THE FRONT TOWARDS DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG GUSTY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY ANY
SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH THE FRONT ALONG WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP
TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS TOWARDS DAYBREAK.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1200 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 28 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 32 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....59 DECREASING TO 29.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EST)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....                                SCH SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............75  73  71  71  70  70  70  69  69  68  68  67
RH..............69  73  79  79  81  81  81  84  84  87  87  90
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  14  14  14  13  13  12  12  12  12  13
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  15  20  20  20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9
    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1600...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 TO 32 MPH BECOMING WEST 15 TO 20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....51.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120126.UNIT4.02/MLB