FNUS72 KMFL 271405
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SC3...SEMINOLE TRIBE FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
905 AM EST FRI JAN 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AS A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO ENTER THE REGION...ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE BURN AREA DURING THE MORNING
HOURS. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY COULD LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
ALTHOUGH LIGHTNING HAS DIMINISHED WITH THE SHOWER ACTIVITY FROM
EARLIER THIS MORNING AN ISOLATED STRIKE WITH ANY HEAVIER SHOWERS IS
POSSIBLE. THE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO STALL ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
BURN AREA TONIGHT AND ON SATURDAY WITH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....43 DECREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........80     80     80     80     80     74
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............80     83     84     81     73     68
RH..............58     53     51     54     71     84
20 FT WIND......S 6    SW 6   SW 6   SW 5   SW 2   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   4000   4000   4000   2100   2100
MIXNG WIND......S 12   SW 16  SW 16  SW 9   SW 3   SW 3
DISPERSION IDX..41     45     45     26     14     14
LVORI...........2      2      2      2      8      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     30     30
LAL.............2      2      2      2      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....26 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 20 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DIEHL
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120127.BCSC3.01/MFL