FNUS72 KMFL 271945
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SE1...SEMINOLE TRIBE FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
245 PM EST FRI JAN 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1405 EST ON JANUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO ENTER THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA AND IS EXPECTED
TO STALL ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING AND THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEKEND.
FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY THE SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY OVER THE BURN
AREA. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS ACROSS THE BURN AREA WILL
BE SOMEWHAT VARIABLE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS THE FRONT STALLS OVER THE REGION.
MAXIMUM DISPERSION VALUES ACROSS THE BURN AREA ARE EXPECTED TO BE
IN THE FAIR RANGE ON SATURDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 2
                    TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....50 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............10.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........86     74     74     74     73     73
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............74     68     65     63     62     61
RH..............74     90     100    100    100    100
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 4   SW 2   SW 2   S 1    S 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   1700   300    300    200    200
MIXNG WIND......SW 16  SW 13  S 7    S 7    S 3    SE 2
DISPERSION IDX..50     8      3      3      2      1
LVORI...........10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 55 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 16 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............9.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DIEHL
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120127.BCSE1.01/MFL