FNUS72 KTAE 271415
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRIAR CREEK...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
915 AM EST FRI JAN 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 CST ON JANUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY
IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 30S
TODAY...BUT STAY ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP
INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...
WITH THE RECENT RAIN...ERC VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
THRESHOLDS...AND NO FIRE WEATHER HEADLINES ARE NEEDED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION..........67.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........47     28     8      8      8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     58     60     64     62
RH..............73     60     48     40     42
20 FT WIND......NW 7   NW 7   NW 6   NW 6   N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     15
TRANSPORT WIND. 13N    15N    15N    18N    18N

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION..........3.

TIME (CST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........8      8      6      6      4      6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     55     52     49     46     44
RH..............47     56     63     69     72     75
20 FT WIND......N 4    N 2    N 1    N 1    N 1    NW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5
TRANSPORT WIND. 13N    6N     4N     4N     4N     4N

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION..........50.

TIME (CST)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........6      7      7      7      7      11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............41     43     53     60     65     67
RH..............80     79     61     47     38     35
20 FT WIND......NW 2   N 2    N 3    N 5    N 5    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     15     15     15
TRANSPORT WIND..5N     6N     9N     10N    14N    11N

$$
FORECASTER...JIM BOLDEN
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120127.BRIAR.01/TAE