FNUS72 KMFL 281406
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SW-1...SEMINOLE TRIBE FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
906 AM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IS FOR THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF MIAMI-DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST IN THE INTERIOR AREAS, SUCH AS THE FIRE LOCATION.
AS THE DAY PROGRESSES WINDS WILL TURN MORE NORTHEASTERLY OVER THE EAST COAST
AND MORE NORTHWESTERLY OVER THE WEST COAST. THIS SHOULD SET UP A WEAL CONVERGENCE
BOUNDARY OVER SOUTHERN MIAMI-DADE BEGINNING AROUND 1 PM. WITH THESE CONDITIONS
MOST OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY.

DISPERSION VALUES TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE POOR TO FAIR WITH CONDITIONS
IMPROVING TO GENERALLY GOOD BY MONDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE HIGHER
TODAY DUE TO THE HIGHER AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE INTERIOR ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO 40 TO
45 PERCENT FOR TOMORROW.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 0 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....0 INCREASING TO 16 IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 34 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........50     50     50     50     60     60
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............75     79     80     79     73     65
RH..............71     62     58     58     78     90
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 3    N 3    N 2    N 2    N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   3500   3500   3500   3500   1900
MIXNG WIND......N 5    N 8    N 8    N 5    N 5    N 3
DISPERSION IDX..20     34     34     18     18     2
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     30
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............10.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 43 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 48.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ESTUPINAN
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120128.BCSW1.01/MFL