FNUS71 KAKQ 301344 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR THOROFARE UNIT-4A...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE (NWR) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 844 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS BETWEEN 15 TO 25 PERCENT TODAY... ...INCREASINGLY MILD AND DRY CONDITIONS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY... HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES ANCHORED OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH MID WEEK. A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. ADI.................11...INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 73 LATE IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO 56 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 46...DECREASING TO 30 LATE. LVORI...............2. SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO AROUND 3200 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY FTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AFTER 4 PM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH LATE. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO POOR (5700-35100 FT-MPH)...INCREASING TO FAIR TO GOOD (65000-75000 FT-MPH) IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO VERY POOR TO FAIR (22800-53600 FT-MPH) LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............5 6 7 10 12 15 17 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................43 44 45 45 45 44 42 RH..................33 32 29 29 28 29 34 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.7 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......12 12 10 10 9 8 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 15 15 15 15 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....25 23 21 18 15 13 10 VRATE KT-FT/1000....105 94 80 67 54 42 23 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 1 1 2 ADI.................75 68 60 51 57 46 30 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. ADI.................10...DECREASING TO 8 IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 14 LATE. LVORI...............3. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH LATE. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (1300-9700 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............20 22 19 17 14 11 9 6 5 4 3 2 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................39 37 35 34 33 33 33 33 34 35 36 36 RH..................42 50 56 61 66 69 72 75 72 72 72 72 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......5 3 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW S S S S S S S S SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....8 7 6 7 8 10 12 14 15 16 16 15 VRATE KT-FT/1000....10 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 3 LVORI...............2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 ADI.................14 7 5 5 4 7 8 9 10 11 14 14 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. ADI.................12...INCREASING TO 24 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 30 LATE...DECREASING TO 20 LATE. LVORI...............3. SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (2800-23300 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............1 0 3 6 10 13 16 19 18 18 17 16 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................36 37 42 48 53 56 58 59 60 60 59 58 RH..................75 72 62 54 46 40 36 34 33 35 36 39 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.0 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 10 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 15 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 13 14 16 17 17 18 18 20 20 20 16 VRATE KT-FT/1000....3 3 3 3 4 6 9 12 16 20 23 15 LVORI...............4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 ADI.................9 9 9 14 19 19 20 20 24 28 30 20 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 FORECASTER...FOSTER REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120130.THORO.01/AKQ