FNUS72 KILM 301359
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILLCREEK...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
859 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AT THE FIRE SITE...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH MID MORNING
PREVAILING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...BEHIND A COOL FRONT PASSING WELL
NORTH OF THE AREA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER
THROUGH TUESDAY. EXPECT CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN
20 AND 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGH WILL PARK ITSELF OFFSHORE
OF THE CAROLINAS THROUGH THURSDAY...ALLOWING FOR A WARMING TREND
TO ENSUE. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP TO THE AREA BY THE END OF THE WEEK
WITH AN INCREASING CHANCE OF RAINFALL.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE BY THE MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3300-4700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO
                    10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX ADI.............50.
MAX LVORI...........3.

TIME (EST)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............2      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................49     53     55     55
RH..................32     28     28     32
20 FT WIND..........NW 4   NW 4   W 2    SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5
LVORI...............1      2      2      2
ADI.................50     23     24     24

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT CREECH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120130.MILLC.01/ILM