FNUS72 KILM 301245
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUNNY POINT 30JAN12...DOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
745 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON JANUARY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
AT THE FIRE SITE...LIGHT WEST WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEHIND A COOL FRONT PASSING
WELL NORTH OF THE AREA. WINDS WILL THEN BECOME LIGHT AGAIN IN THE MID
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN COOL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH TUESDAY. EXPECT CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN
20 AND 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGH WILL PARK ITSELF OFFSHORE
FROM THE CAROLINAS THROUGH THURSDAY...ALLOWING FOR A WARMING TREND
AND INCREASING RH VALUES MID THROUGH LATE WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL
DROP TO THE AREA BY THE END OF THE WEEK WITH AN INCREASING CHANCE
OF RAINFALL TO FOLLOW.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 3 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH
                    BY LATE MORNING. WIND LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY MID
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-4400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH LATE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON.
MAX ADI.............48.
MAX LVORI...........3.

TIME (EST)          9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............2      1      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43     51     56     57     54
RH..................46     31     26     28     35
20 FT WIND..........NW 5   NW 5   NW 5   E 4    SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                     5      5
LVORI...............2      1      2      2      2
ADI.................5      48     22     22     20
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0      0      0      0      0

$$

FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL FULLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120130.SUNNY.01/ILM