FNUS72 KJAX 301345
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GUANA RIVER WMA...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
845 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE NORTH WILL KEEP DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE ONE MORE
DAY WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING TO AROUND 35 TO 40 PERCENT
ALONG THE COAST AND MUCH DRIER WELL INLAND IN THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT
RANGE. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH NORTHEAST TO EAST WIND GUSTS TO 15
MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA EXCEPT FOR FLAGLER COUNTY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY WITH MILD TEMPERATURES INTO
THE 70S EXPECTED BUT MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL INCREASE BACK ABOVE
CRITICAL LEVELS.

WEAK LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTHERN GOMEX ON WEDNESDAY
WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE LATE IN THE DAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AS LOW TRACKS ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA.

DRY WEATHER RETURNS FOR FRIDAY THEN UNSETTLED WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND AS
ANOTHER SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 18 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....45.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)       10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..........5      10     12     12
WEATHER COV......
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.............58     62     64     64
RH...............52     43     40     43
20 FT WIND.......NNE 11 NE 15  NE 15  NE 14
20 FT WIND GUST..17     20     25     20
MIX HGT (FT).....2300   3000   3100   2700
TRANSPORT WIND...NE 18  NE 18  NE 18  NE 18
DISPERSION INDX..50     44     45     42
CHC OF PCPN (%)..0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........13     11     12     18     28     40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     57     55     54     53     52
RH..............53     64     71     75     78     83
20 FT WIND......NE 12  E 8    E 8    E 6    E 6    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   1200   1100   1300   1300   1100
TRANSPORT WIND..E 17   E 16   E 15   E 13   E 12   E 10
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION INDX.42     11     7      6      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....46.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...TYLER MOSTELLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120130.GUANA.01/JAX