FNUS72 KMFL 301330
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SC3...SEMINOLE TRIBE FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
830 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST STATES TODAY PRODUCING A MODERATE NORTHEAST LOW LEVEL
WIND FLOW AND DRY CONDITIONS AT THE FIRE SITE. THE 20 FOOT WIND
WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHEAST AT AROUND 12 MPH WITH TRANSPORT
WIND IN EXCESS OF 15 MPH. WHILE THIS WILL RESULT IN GENERALLY GOOD
DISPERSION LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON, RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL DIP AS LOW AS 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOWEST HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL LIKELY BE TO THE WEST OF THE FIRE SITE BUT THEY COULD
BRIEFLY FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT. AS MENTIONED, THE 20 FOOT WIND IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH BUT IF IT DOES INCREASE TO 15 MPH
AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLS BELOW 35 PERCENT THERE COULD BE A
RED FLAG WARNING ISSUED LATER TODAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 36 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....51.
LVORI...............1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........30     30     30     30     20     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............75     79     80     76     68     62
RH..............47     41     36     41     61     75
20 FT WIND......NE 6   NE 9   NE 9   NE 8   NE 6   NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   3500   3500   3500   2100   2100
MIXNG WIND......NE 15  NE 18  NE 18  NE 15  NE 12  NE 12
DISPERSION IDX..47     49     49     51     7      7
LVORI...........1      1      1      1      9      9
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....51 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............9.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 16 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 53 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 65 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 43.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120130.BCSC3.01/MFL