FNUS72 KJAX 312123
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAYNES PRAIRIE...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
423 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1613 EST ON JANUARY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE PERIOD AS DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE WEST. PATCHY
FOG IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND MAY MIX WITH SMOKE TO
CREATE POSSIBLE LOCALIZED HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON
WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF DEVELOPING WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND
WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LEVELS
WILL REMAIN HIGH AND HEADLINES ARE NOT EXPECTED.

THE EXTENDED PERIOD FROM FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY WILL REMAIN
UNSETTLED WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE WEEKEND. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). LOCALLY
                    DENSE SMOKE AND FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT AFTER 10 PM.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........48     48     46     48     51     56
WEATHER COV.....              PATCHY AREAS  DENSE  DENSE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............67     60     57     54     52     51
RH..............53     71     80     86     91     96
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 4    E 3    SE 1   SE 1   SE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   1000   700    400    200    400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 14   E 12   E 8    SE 6   SE 5   SE 6
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). LOCALLY DENSE
                    SMOKE AND FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........62     65     68     72     74     77
WEATHER COV.....DENSE  PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............50     50     62     71     75     75
RH..............99     100    80     58     50     48
20 FT WIND......CALM   CALM   E 5    E 6    SE 6   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.              10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....600    1400   2200   3100   3700   4100
TRANSPORT WIND..E 6    E 8    E 8    E 10   E 10   E 8
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...SANDRIK
REQUESTED BY...SGT  J L  CROSBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120131.PAYNE.01/JAX