FNUS72 KJAX 010021 AAA
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAYNES PRAIRIE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
721 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1613 EST ON JANUARY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE PERIOD AS DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE WEST. PATCHY
FOG IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND MAY MIX WITH SMOKE TO
CREATE POSSIBLE LOCALIZED HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TOWARD MORNING.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON
WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF DEVELOPING WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND
WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LEVELS
WILL REMAIN HIGH AND HEADLINES ARE NOT EXPECTED.

THE EXTENDED PERIOD FROM FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY WILL REMAIN
UNSETTLED WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE WEEKEND. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). LOCALLY DENSE
                    SMOKE AND FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EST)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........33     22     38     54     70
WEATHER COV.....       PATCHY AREAS  DENSE  DENSE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............60     57     54     52     51
RH..............71     80     86     91     96
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 3    SE 1   SE 1   SE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   700    400    400    600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 12   E 8    SE 6   SE 5   SE 6
LVORI...........3      4      6      7      8
DISPERSION INDX.5      4      3      2      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). LOCALLY DENSE
                    SMOKE AND FOG IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........61     59     64     70     74     77
WEATHER COV.....DENSE  PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............50     50     62     71     75     75
RH..............99     100    80     58     50     48
20 FT WIND......E 0    E 1    E 5    E 6    SE 6   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....800    1400   2200   3100   3700   4100
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7    E 7    E 8    E 8    E 8    E 8
LVORI...........7      7      3      2      2      2
DISPERSION INDX.3      12     22     26     29     30
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...SANDRIK
REQUESTED BY...SGT  J L  CROSBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120131.PAYNE.01/JAX