FNUS72 KMFL 311031
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAXTER BOSTICK...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
531 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL LIE ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA AND TO THE SOUTH
IN THE FLORIDA STRAITS WILL LIE A STATIONARY FRONT. THIS WILL MAINTAIN
A FAIRLY HIGH PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE MAIN
WEATHER FEATURE TODAY WILL BE WIND AS SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH
NO RAIN EXPECTED.

EAST NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH THIS MORNING WILL BECOME EAST AND INCREASE
AFTER 10 AM TO 10 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH OR HIGHER ( THESE WINDS
HIGHER THAN IN THE TABLE BELOW). THESE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 6 PM
BEFORE SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASING AND BECOMING EAST NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 8
MPH THEN DECREASING MORE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

IF WINDS GO COMPLETELY CALM ( NOT EXPECTED )...PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP
AFTER MIDNIGHT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 43 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 22 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 66 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 50.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........50     50     50     50     20     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............78     82     83     81     73     68
RH..............48     44     43     46     62     73
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 7    E 7    E 6    E 4    E 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   4000   4000   4000   2300   2300
MIXNG WIND......E 12   E 17   E 17   E 14   E 9    E 9
DISPERSION IDX..40     66     66     50     27     27
LVORI...........3      3      3      3      6      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 96 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 23 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 53 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 63 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 40.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS
REQUESTED BY...MIKE O LEARY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120131.BAXTE.01/MFL