FNUS72 KMFL 311836
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONCHO RX...BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
136 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EST ON JANUARY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST STATES THROUGH TONIGHT RESULTING IN A MODERATE LOW LEVEL
EAST WIND FLOW AT THE FIRE SITE. AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS ALSO
IN PLACE BUT ONLY SOME CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED WITH NO RAINFALL
FORECAST TO OCCUR AS THE ATMOSPHERE ABOVE THE SURFACE REMAINS
QUITE DRY AND STABLE. DISPERSION FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BE VERY GOOD BECOMING GOOD IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE EAST
WIND WILL ALSO PREVENT ANY FOG FORMATION LATE TONIGHT AT THE BURN
SITE BUT THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CLIMB TO NEAR 100 PERCENT LATE
TONIGHT ESPECIALLY IF THE WIND IS LESS THAN 5 MPH.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52.
LVORI...............1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM
SKY (%).........50     50     52     52     52     44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............79     78     70     66     64     62
RH..............49     53     70     77     84     90
20 FT WIND......E 10   E 8    E 6    E 6    E 5    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   3500   2100   2100   700    700
MIXNG WIND......E 20   E 15   E 9    E 9    E 8    E 7
DISPERSION IDX..50     53     12     12     7      5
LVORI...........1      1      6      6      6      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....53 DECREASING TO 8.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 16 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 53.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...MELISSA OLSEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120131.CONCH.01/MFL