FNUS72 KMFL 311211
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONCHO RX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
711 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0725 EST ON JANUARY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST STATES TODAY RESULTING IN MODERATE EAST LOW LEVEL WIND
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA PRODUCING VERY GOOD DISPERSION BY EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AT THE FIRE SITE. THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD
COVER BY MID MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON BUT NO RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALSO BE AMPLE WITH THE LOWEST
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 41 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 22 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 65 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 48.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........20     50     50     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............61     73     81     84     84     81
RH..............85     67     47     42     43     54
20 FT WIND......NE 5   E 6    E 6    E 7    E 7    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   3500   3500   4000   4000   3500
MIXNG WIND......NE 8   E 12   E 12   E 17   E 17   E 14
DISPERSION IDX..22     40     40     65     65     48
LVORI...........3      3      3      3      3      7
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 98 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 41 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 24 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 54 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 65 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 41.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...MIKE OLEARY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120131.CONCH.02/MFL