FNUS71 KRNK 301925 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR HIDDEN VALLEY HAY FIEDS...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 225 PM EST MON JAN 30 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON JANUARY 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY COLD FRONT WHICH MOVED THROUGH THE AREA LATE SUNDAY WILL DRIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EASTWARD AND COVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES THROUGH TUESDAY. LOW DEWPOINTS AND BREEZY CONDITIONS PROVIDED EXCELLENT DRYING CONDITIONS OVER THE WEEKEND. MOST AREAS HAVE NOW GONE 3 DAYS WITHOUT RAIN...CLOSER TO 6 DAYS WITHOUT RAIN EAST OF HIGHWAY 29 IN VA/NC. CALCULATED 10 HOUR FUEL MOISTURES FROM LOCAL FIRE RAWS ARE NOW IN A 9-13 PERCENT RANGE...SUGGESTING WE HAVE NOW ENTERED A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FAVORABLE FOR PRESCRIBED BURNING. BEHAVEPLUS CALCULATION FOR THE FINE DEAD 1HR FUELS...DORMANT GRASSES...IS FORECASTING THE MINIMUM MOISTURE CONTENT TO BE IN THE 6-8 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. AS SUCH...SHOULD GET FULL CONSUMPTION OF FUEL MODELS 1 AND 3. LEAF LITTER...OR FUEL MODEL 9...MAY STILL BE TOO MOIST ESPECIALLY NORTH FACING SLOPES WHERE SUN ANGLE IS LOW AND FUELS ARE SHADED. SOUTH SLOPES SHOULD RECEIVE FULL SUN TODAY AND TUESDAY AND MAY BE DRY/WARM ENOUGH TO SUPPORT OBJECTIVES. WIND FLOW THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. SIMILAR TRANSPORT IS EXPECTED AGAIN TUESDAY. NEXT CHANCE OF WETTING SHOWERS BEGINS WEDNESDAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH. TIME (EST) 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............39 34 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................44 46 RH..................36 34 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 CWR.................0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28. MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............23 20 21 13 3 2 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................42 38 36 35 34 33 RH..................41 50 55 59 62 65 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 3 W 1 W 0 W 0 W 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 5 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 23 TO 31 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............5 9 13 17 19 20 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................31 31 42 49 54 57 RH..................71 71 48 40 34 32 20 FT WIND..........W 2 W 4 W 5 W 6 W 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 15 15 15 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...STONEFIELD REQUESTED BY...STEVE SMESTAD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120131.HIDDE.01/RNK