FNUS71 KAKQ 011318 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR Q2...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE (NWR) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 818 AM EST WED FEB 1 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ...DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST TODAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT OVER EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS EVENING...THEN TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS VIRGINIA AND OFF THE DELMARVA COAST BY MIDDAY THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FOR LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST OVER THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY OR MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH GUSTING TO 20 MPH. ADI.................12...INCREASING TO 19 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 8 LATE. LVORI...............2. SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT FOR LIGHT RAIN THIS MORNING, 30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL THIS MORNING INCREASING TO 1000 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (1800-16300 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............53 53 52 51 50 58 58 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................62 64 66 66 66 65 63 RH..................45 40 37 38 38 41 46 CHC OF PCPN (%).....40 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.4 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.6 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......10 15 15 12 10 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....15 18 18 15 15 15 15 VRATE KT-FT/1000....6 12 16 12 10 6 3 LVORI...............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ADI.................11 16 20 17 17 10 6 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE. ADI.................5. LVORI...............4. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH LATE. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (500-2300 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............62 66 70 75 79 83 88 92 93 95 96 97 WEATHER COV......... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................59 57 55 54 53 52 52 51 50 49 49 48 RH..................53 59 66 71 74 77 77 80 83 86 86 89 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 30 30 30 30 30 80 80 80 80 80 80 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW NW N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......7 7 5 3 2 2 1 1 2 3 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S SE SE SE S S SE NE N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....3 2 3 5 5 5 3 3 5 7 9 10 VRATE KT-FT/1000....2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 LVORI...............2 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 5 5 ADI.................4 3 3 4 2 2 2 2 2 3 6 7 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. ADI.................9...INCREASING TO 41. LVORI...............3. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1800-2500 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO POOR (2500-37900 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............99 100 96 91 87 83 78 74 68 61 55 49 WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................47 47 47 48 48 49 51 52 53 53 53 51 RH..................89 89 89 83 83 77 71 66 61 59 57 61 CHC OF PCPN (%).....60 60 60 60 60 60 30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.5 1.8 20 FT WIND DIR......NE NE NE N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......5 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE NE NE N N N N N N NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.....12 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 15 17 17 14 VRATE KT-FT/1000....3 3 8 14 19 21 22 22 27 34 38 21 LVORI...............5 5 5 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................7 10 8 11 24 26 29 42 37 42 45 41 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 FORECASTER...FOSTER REQUESTED BY...KEITH MORRIS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120201.Q2___.01/AKQ