FNUS75 KGJT 011243
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFER CREEK...VAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
543 AM MST WED FEB 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON FEBRUARY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE BURN AREA TODAY
AND LIMIT SMOKE DISPERSAL AS HIGH CLOUDS INCREASE. AN UPPER
TROUGH WILL CROSS WESTERN COLORADO ON THURSDAY. THE UPPER LOW IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHWEST COLORADO...SO EXPECT WINDS ALOFT
TO SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST THURSDAY MORNING TO THE EAST OR
NORTHEAST BY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. COOLER AIR WILL MOVE IN
THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5-10 MPH BY 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO 4500 FT
                    AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING
                    WEST 13 MPH BY 1400.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....12-17 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL IN THE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH
                    BY LATE EVENING.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....23-28 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWVALLEY 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING
                    EAST 14 MPH BY 1400.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...TOM TALBOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120201.BUFFE.01/GJT