FNUS75 KGJT 311739
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRE MOUNTAIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1039 AM MST TUE JAN 31 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON FEBRUARY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AS A WEAK AND FAST MOVING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE PASSES EASTWARD
INTO THE HIGH PLAINS...AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES.
PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO
WESTERN COLORADO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY.
THE MODERATE FLOW WILL COMBINE WITH SOME INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS DISTURBANCE FOR GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL EACH AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS. MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%)
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW
                    SHOWERS...MIXING WITH OR CHANGING OVER TO
                    RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-43 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH UNTIL MID MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 8-12
                    MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN INCREASING TO GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...RYAN MCCULLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120201.FIREM.01/GJT