FNUS75 KBOU 011845 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HEIL LOG DECKS...BOULDER COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1145 AM MST WED FEB 1 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WINTER STORM WILL BE APPROACHING ON THURSDAY WITH LOWERING CLOUDS AND NORTHEAST WINDS DEVELOPING DURING THE DAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO START VERY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR IN THE EARLY EVENING...THOUGH THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THERE IS STILL FAIR UNCERTAINTY ABOUT SNOW AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM... BUT THE BEST ESTIMATE FOR THE BURN SITE IS A TOTAL OF BETWEEN 6 AND 12 INCHES BY NOON FRIDAY. WITH THE CLOUD COVER AND A COOL NORTHEAST WIND...MIXING DEPTH AND SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE LIMITED. MARGINALLY FAIR DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-44. MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTH 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHEAST 5-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHEAST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN RISING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 1300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS AROUND 30. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HEIL LOG DECKS. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/01-11 62 0 0 42 21 S 7 7 5 1 NW21 4360 W 5 18633 P 02/01-12 62 0 0 44 19 S 7 7 5 1 NW20 4645 W 7 28455 P 02/01-13 71 0 0 45 19 SW 8 8 5 1 W20 4930 W 9 38277 P 02/01-14 71 0 0 45 19 SW 9 14 5 1 W20 5215 W10 48099 F 02/01-15 72 0 0 46 19 SW 8 8 5 1 W21 4702 W13 48710 F 02/01-16 72 0 0 45 21 W 7 7 4 1 W22 4188 SW14 49321 F 02/01-17 59 0 0 40 25 W 6 6 4 1 W24 3674 SW16 49931 F 02/01-18 59 0 0 36 31 W 7 7 4 1 W26 2631 W15 35227 P 02/01-19 59 0 0 34 33 W 9 9 4 1 W29 1587 W14 20522 P 02/01-20 59 0 0 33 35 W10 16 4 1 W31 544 W13 5818 P 02/01-21 59 0 0 33 36 W10 16 4 1 W31 493 W10 4790 P 02/01-22 59 0 0 33 37 W10 15 3 1 W30 442 W 9 3763 P 02/01-23 69 0 0 32 37 W 9 14 3 1 W28 390 W 8 2736 P 02/02-00 69 0 0 32 39 W 9 9 3 1 SW25 391 W 7 2416 P 02/02-01 69 0 0 31 39 W 8 8 3 1 SW23 391 W 6 2097 P 02/02-02 69 0 0 32 38 W 8 8 3 1 SW21 391 W 6 1777 P 02/02-03 69 0 0 32 37 W 8 8 3 1 SW16 488 NW 5 2100 P 02/02-04 69 0 0 33 36 W 8 8 3 1 SW13 585 NW 5 2422 P 02/02-05 73 30 9 33 36 NW 8 8 3 1 SW10 683 NW 5 2745 P 02/02-06 73 30 9 31 41 NW 7 7 3 1 S10 551 NW 5 2087 P 02/02-07 73 30 9 29 47 NW 6 6 3 1 S10 420 NW 3 1429 P 02/02-08 73 30 9 30 47 NW 5 5 3 1 SE10 288 NW 3 771 P 02/02-09 63 30 9 34 40 NW 3 3 3 1 SE12 1654 N 5 11993 P 02/02-10 63 30 9 36 36 N 2 2 3 1 SE12 3020 N 7 23214 P 02/02-11 63 60 38 38 34 NE 2 2 3 1 SE10 4386 NE 9 34436 P 02/02-12 63 60 38 40 32 NE 3 3 3 1 SE 8 4684 NE10 43279 F 02/02-13 77 60 38 41 30 NE 5 5 3 1 SE 6 4981 NE12 52122 F 02/02-14 77 60 38 41 31 NE 6 6 3 1 S 3 5279 NE14 60965 G 02/02-15 77 60 38 42 32 NE 7 7 3 1 SE 2 5061 NE15 67163 G 02/02-16 77 60 38 40 36 NE 9 9 2 1 NE 3 4844 NE17 73362 G 02/02-17 100 70 53 35 47 NE10 16 2 1 NE 5 4626 NE20 79560 G 02/02-18 100 70 53 28 65 NE13 18 2 1 NE 7 3283 NE20 56574 F 02/02-19 100 70 53 27 75 N15 22 2 1 NE 9 1940 N21 33588 P 02/02-20 100 70 53 25 83 N16 24 2 1 NE12 597 N21 10603 P 02/02-21 100 70 53 25 82 N16 25 2 1 NE13 697 N22 13063 P 02/02-22 100 70 53 25 83 N16 24 2 1 NE14 796 N22 15524 P 02/02-23 100 70 53 24 81 N16 24 2 1 NE14 895 N23 17984 P 02/03-00 100 70 53 23 81 N16 24 2 1 NE14 802 N23 16139 P 02/03-01 100 70 53 23 79 N16 24 2 1 E12 708 N23 14295 P 02/03-02 100 70 53 23 76 N16 24 2 1 E10 615 N23 12450 P 02/03-03 100 70 53 22 86 N16 24 2 1 NE12 1025 N24 22627 P 02/03-04 100 70 53 26 76 N16 24 2 1 NE12 1436 N25 32804 P 02/03-05 100 70 53 25 85 N16 24 2 1 NE12 1846 N26 42981 F 02/03-06 100 70 53 23 97 N16 24 2 1 NE10 1404 N25 31835 P 02/03-07 100 70 53 20 100 N16 24 2 1 NE 8 962 N23 20688 P 02/03-08 100 70 53 20 100 N16 24 2 1 NE 6 521 N21 9541 P 02/03-09 100 70 53 24 90 N16 24 2 1 NE 5 1413 N20 21698 P 02/03-10 100 70 53 26 78 N15 23 2 1 NE 5 2306 NE18 33855 P 02/03-11 100 70 53 27 70 N15 23 2 1 E 3 3198 NE16 46012 F 02/03-12 100 70 53 28 65 N15 22 2 1 NE 3 3715 NE15 47467 F 02/03-13 100 70 53 29 62 N15 22 2 1 NW 3 4231 NE14 48921 F 02/03-14 100 70 53 29 61 N14 21 2 1 NW 5 4747 NE13 50375 F 02/03-15 100 70 53 30 59 N13 18 2 1 NW 3 4358 NE10 41946 F 02/03-16 100 70 53 28 61 N10 16 2 1 NW 3 3969 NE 9 33517 P 02/03-17 78 40 18 25 69 N 9 14 2 1 N 3 3580 NE 8 25088 P 02/03-18 78 40 18 22 85 N 8 8 2 1 N 3 2669 NE 8 18434 P 02/03-19 78 40 18 21 95 N 7 7 2 1 NE 3 1759 N 7 11780 P 02/03-20 78 40 18 20 100 N 6 6 2 1 E 5 848 N 7 5126 P 02/03-21 78 40 18 20 100 N 5 5 2 1 E 7 720 N 7 4233 P 02/03-22 78 40 18 20 98 N 5 5 2 1 E10 592 N 7 3339 P 02/03-23 59 20 4 20 95 NW 5 5 2 1 SE13 464 N 6 2446 P 02/04-00 59 20 4 19 96 NW 5 5 2 1 SE13 583 N 6 2756 P 02/04-01 59 20 4 19 96 NW 5 5 2 1 SE13 703 N 5 3066 P 02/04-02 59 20 4 19 94 NW 5 5 2 1 SE12 822 N 5 3376 P 02/04-03 59 20 4 18 98 NW 5 5 2 1 S10 1183 N 5 5440 P 02/04-04 59 20 4 21 87 NW 3 3 2 1 S 9 1543 NE 6 7505 P 02/04-05 50 21 4 20 89 NW 3 3 2 1 S 8 1904 NE 6 9569 P 02/04-06 50 21 4 19 92 NW 3 3 1 02/04-07 50 21 4 17 96 NW 3 3 1 02/04-08 50 21 4 18 90 N 3 3 1 02/04-09 50 21 4 22 72 N 3 3 1 02/04-10 50 21 4 25 62 N 3 3 1 02/04-11 53 17 3 26 57 N 3 3 1 02/04-12 53 17 3 28 52 N 3 3 1 02/04-13 53 17 3 30 50 NE 3 3 1 02/04-14 53 17 3 30 50 NE 3 3 1 02/04-15 53 17 3 30 50 NE 2 2 1 02/04-16 53 17 3 29 53 NE 2 2 1 02/04-17 41 11 2 26 60 NE 2 2 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120202.HEILL.01/BOU