FNUS75 KBOU 020056 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR OWL MTN SOUTH PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 544 PM MST WED FEB 1 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE GREAT BASIN WILL INTENSIFY OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION LATE THURSDAY BEFORE SLOWLY MOVING INTO WESTERN KANSAS BY LATE FRIDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE BURN AREA BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. SNOW WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION BY SATURDAY MORNING WILL BE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....14. MAX HUMIDITY........70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0900...THEN SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1700...THEN SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....35. MIN HUMIDITY........41%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTHEAST 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHEAST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 6000-7000 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200. GOOD AFTER 1300. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....10. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 12-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....23. MIN HUMIDITY........64%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3200-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 1200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR OWL MTN SOUTH PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/01-17 73 0 0 31 27 S 6 6 5 1 W32 5376 SW21 97476 G 02/01-18 73 0 0 31 27 S 6 6 5 1 SW32 4202 SW18 71671 G 02/01-19 73 0 0 29 30 S 5 5 4 1 SW33 3029 SW15 45867 F 02/01-20 73 0 0 26 34 S 5 5 4 1 SW36 1856 SW13 20063 P 02/01-21 73 0 0 23 38 S 5 5 4 1 SW38 1345 SW10 13976 P 02/01-22 73 0 0 21 42 S 6 6 3 1 SW40 834 S 8 7888 P 02/01-23 79 0 0 19 46 S 6 6 3 1 SW40 323 S 7 1801 P 02/02-00 79 0 0 18 48 S 6 6 3 1 SW39 284 S 6 1410 P 02/02-01 79 0 0 17 51 S 5 5 3 1 SW36 246 S 5 1020 P 02/02-02 79 4 1 16 53 S 3 3 3 1 SW31 207 S 3 630 P 02/02-03 79 4 1 16 56 S 3 3 3 1 SW29 200 S 3 534 P 02/02-04 79 4 1 16 59 S 2 2 2 1 SW25 192 S 2 437 P 02/02-05 82 19 4 15 62 S 2 2 2 1 SW22 185 S 2 341 P 02/02-06 82 19 4 15 65 SE 2 2 2 1 SW18 188 SE 2 388 P 02/02-07 82 19 4 16 68 SE 2 2 3 1 S15 191 E 2 435 P 02/02-08 82 19 4 16 70 E 2 2 3 1 S12 194 E 2 483 P 02/02-09 94 60 38 19 68 E 2 2 3 1 S 9 1935 E 5 11159 P 02/02-10 94 60 38 24 61 NE 3 3 3 1 SE 6 3676 E 6 21836 P 02/02-11 94 60 38 28 55 NE 5 5 3 1 SE 5 5417 NE 7 32512 P 02/02-12 94 60 38 31 48 NE 6 6 3 1 SE 5 6288 NE 8 48056 F 02/02-13 94 60 38 33 44 NE 7 7 3 1 E 5 7159 NE10 63600 G 02/02-14 93 70 53 34 41 NE 8 13 3 1 NE 6 8029 NE12 79144 G 02/02-15 93 70 53 33 44 NE 9 15 3 1 NE 6 7170 NE14 81671 G 02/02-16 93 70 53 31 50 NE10 16 3 1 NE 7 6311 NE16 84197 G 02/02-17 100 80 68 29 55 NE12 18 3 1 NE 8 5452 NE18 86724 G 02/02-18 100 80 68 28 57 NE13 21 3 1 NE 9 4582 NE20 76967 G 02/02-19 100 80 68 28 56 NE14 22 3 1 NE 9 3711 NE22 67210 G 02/02-20 100 80 68 21 73 NE15 24 3 1 NE10 2840 NE23 57453 F 02/02-21 100 80 68 18 81 NE14 23 3 1 E13 1999 NE23 43447 F 02/02-22 100 80 68 17 88 NE14 22 3 1 E14 1348 NE21 27365 P 02/02-23 100 80 68 15 94 NE13 21 3 1 E14 697 NE18 11284 P 02/03-00 100 80 68 14 99 NE13 21 3 1 E15 583 NE17 9185 P 02/03-01 100 80 68 13 100 NE14 22 3 1 E16 468 NE17 7086 P 02/03-02 100 80 68 12 100 N14 22 3 1 E16 353 NE16 4987 P 02/03-03 100 80 68 12 100 NE14 22 3 1 E14 370 NE16 5101 P 02/03-04 100 80 68 12 100 NE13 21 3 1 E13 386 NE16 5216 P 02/03-05 100 80 68 12 100 NE13 21 3 1 SE12 403 NE15 5330 P 02/03-06 100 80 68 12 95 NE13 20 3 1 E12 502 NE15 6751 P 02/03-07 100 80 68 12 89 NE12 20 3 1 E13 601 NE16 8172 P 02/03-08 100 80 68 14 79 NE12 18 3 1 E14 699 NE16 9594 P 02/03-09 100 80 68 16 77 NE10 10 3 1 E13 1577 E15 20032 P 02/03-10 100 80 68 18 78 E10 10 3 1 SE10 2455 E15 30471 P 02/03-11 100 70 53 20 78 E 9 9 3 1 SE 9 3333 E14 40909 F 02/03-12 100 70 53 21 73 E 8 8 3 1 SE 9 3873 E12 37217 P 02/03-13 100 70 53 22 67 E 8 8 3 1 S 9 4414 E 9 33524 P 02/03-14 100 70 53 22 64 E 7 7 3 1 S10 4955 E 7 29831 P 02/03-15 100 70 53 22 65 E 6 6 3 1 S10 3729 E 7 22963 P 02/03-16 100 70 53 21 69 E 6 6 3 1 S10 2503 E 8 16095 P 02/03-17 95 60 38 18 78 E 6 6 3 1 S10 1277 E 8 9227 P 02/03-18 95 60 38 15 85 E 7 7 3 1 S10 944 E 8 6885 P 02/03-19 95 60 38 14 89 E 7 7 3 1 S10 611 E 9 4542 P 02/03-20 95 60 38 12 94 SE 8 8 3 1 S12 278 E 9 2200 P 02/03-21 95 60 38 10 99 SE 8 8 3 1 S12 249 SE 9 1945 P 02/03-22 95 60 38 9 100 SE 8 8 3 1 S12 219 SE 9 1689 P 02/03-23 73 30 9 8 100 SE 8 8 3 1 S12 190 SE 9 1433 P 02/04-00 73 30 9 7 100 SE 8 8 3 1 S10 180 SE 8 1309 P 02/04-01 73 30 9 6 100 SE 7 7 3 1 S 9 170 SE 8 1185 P 02/04-02 73 30 9 6 100 SE 7 7 3 1 S 9 161 SE 8 1061 P 02/04-03 73 30 9 5 100 SE 7 7 3 1 S10 158 SE 8 1033 P 02/04-04 73 30 9 5 100 SE 7 7 3 1 S13 155 SE 7 1005 P 02/04-05 78 30 9 5 100 SE 7 7 3 1 S14 152 SE 7 977 P 02/04-06 78 30 9 5 100 SE 7 7 3 1 S14 190 SE 7 1198 P 02/04-07 78 30 9 7 92 S 7 7 2 1 S14 228 S 7 1419 P 02/04-08 78 30 9 10 78 S 7 7 2 1 S14 265 S 7 1640 P 02/04-09 78 30 9 13 69 S 7 7 2 1 S14 1921 S 8 17619 P 02/04-10 78 30 9 16 64 S 8 8 2 1 S14 3576 S 9 33598 P 02/04-11 83 30 9 20 58 S 8 8 2 1 S15 5232 S10 49577 F 02/04-12 83 30 9 22 52 S 8 8 2 1 S17 5603 S12 58632 F 02/04-13 83 30 9 24 48 S 8 8 2 1 SW20 5975 S13 67688 G 02/04-14 83 30 9 25 46 SW 7 7 2 1 SW21 6346 S14 76743 G 02/04-15 83 30 9 24 47 SW 5 5 2 1 SW21 5971 SW14 73861 G 02/04-16 83 30 9 22 51 SW 3 3 2 1 W21 5597 SW15 70978 G 02/04-17 40 0 0 19 60 CALM 1 2 1 W20 5222 SW15 68096 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...CASEY CHEESBROUGH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120202.OWLMT.02/BOU