FNUS75 KBOU 011851 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR REYNOLDS RANCH...BOULDER COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1145 AM MST WED FEB 1 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WINTER STORM WILL BE APPROACHING ON THURSDAY WITH LOWERING CLOUDS AND NORTHEAST WINDS DEVELOPING DURING THE DAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO START IN THE AFTERNOON...THOUGH THERE IS A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW BY LATE MORNING. HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THERE IS STILL FAIR UNCERTAINTY ABOUT SNOW AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM...BUT THE BEST ESTIMATE FOR THE BURN SITE IS A TOTAL OF BETWEEN 6 AND 12 INCHES BY NOON FRIDAY. WITH THE CLOUD COVER AND A COOL NORTHEAST WIND...MIXING DEPTH AND SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE LIMITED. MARGINALLY FAIR DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-33. MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-7 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...RISING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RENOLDSRANCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/01-11 44 0 0 29 36 W 9 14 5 1 NW29 2349 W16 31743 P 02/01-12 44 0 0 33 32 W 8 8 5 1 NW29 3295 W15 44263 F 02/01-13 49 0 0 35 31 SW 7 7 5 1 W29 4242 W15 56782 F 02/01-14 49 0 0 36 31 SW 7 7 5 1 W29 5188 W15 69301 G 02/01-15 50 0 0 36 32 SW 6 6 5 1 W26 4321 W16 59068 F 02/01-16 50 0 0 34 33 SW 6 6 5 1 W24 3454 W16 48835 F 02/01-17 44 0 0 31 36 SW 6 6 5 1 W23 2587 W17 38602 P 02/01-18 44 0 0 28 40 W 7 7 5 1 W25 1988 W17 29901 P 02/01-19 44 0 0 28 40 W 9 14 5 1 SW29 1388 W18 21199 P 02/01-20 44 0 0 27 41 W12 17 5 1 SW32 789 W18 12497 P 02/01-21 44 0 0 26 42 W13 20 4 1 SW32 682 W17 10615 P 02/01-22 44 0 0 25 44 W14 21 4 1 SW31 576 W17 8734 P 02/01-23 70 0 0 24 45 W14 21 3 1 SW29 469 W17 6852 P 02/02-00 70 0 0 24 45 W14 20 3 1 SW29 425 W15 5586 P 02/02-01 70 0 0 24 46 W13 18 3 1 SW29 380 W13 4320 P 02/02-02 70 0 0 23 48 W12 17 3 1 SW28 336 W10 3054 P 02/02-03 70 0 0 23 49 W12 16 3 1 SW25 327 W 9 2654 P 02/02-04 70 0 0 23 50 W10 15 3 1 SW21 319 W 8 2254 P 02/02-05 75 30 9 23 51 W 9 14 3 1 SW17 311 W 7 1854 P 02/02-06 75 30 9 22 54 W 6 6 3 1 S16 316 NW 5 1253 P 02/02-07 75 30 9 22 57 SW 3 3 3 1 S15 320 N 2 652 P 02/02-08 75 30 9 22 58 SW 2 2 3 1 S14 325 CALM 51 P 02/02-09 85 30 9 24 56 S 2 2 3 1 S13 1504 NE 2 8365 P 02/02-10 85 30 9 26 52 E 5 5 3 1 S12 2683 NE 5 16679 P 02/02-11 85 60 38 27 50 E 6 6 3 1 S10 3862 E 7 24992 P 02/02-12 85 60 38 30 47 E 7 7 3 1 S 9 4355 NE 8 30457 P 02/02-13 91 60 38 31 48 E 7 7 3 1 SW 7 4848 NE 8 35921 P 02/02-14 91 60 38 31 50 E 8 8 3 1 SW 6 5341 NE 9 41385 F 02/02-15 91 60 38 31 53 E 9 9 3 1 W 5 5134 NE12 50341 F 02/02-16 91 60 38 30 57 E 9 14 2 1 NW 5 4927 NE14 59296 F 02/02-17 100 70 53 26 68 E10 16 2 1 N 5 4720 NE16 68252 G 02/02-18 100 70 53 23 82 NE12 17 2 1 N 6 4106 NE17 61814 G 02/02-19 100 70 53 22 89 NE13 20 2 1 NE 8 3492 NE18 55376 F 02/02-20 100 70 53 21 94 NE14 21 2 1 NE 9 2878 NE20 48938 F 02/02-21 100 70 53 20 93 NE14 21 2 1 NE 9 2564 NE20 43034 F 02/02-22 100 70 53 19 93 N13 18 2 1 E 9 2249 N18 37131 P 02/02-23 100 70 53 19 89 N12 17 2 1 E 8 1935 N18 31227 P 02/03-00 100 70 53 19 88 N10 16 2 1 E 9 1543 N18 24645 P 02/03-01 100 70 53 19 89 N10 15 2 1 E10 1152 N17 18062 P 02/03-02 100 70 53 18 95 N 9 14 2 1 E10 760 N17 11480 P 02/03-03 100 70 53 17 98 N 9 9 2 1 E10 761 N18 11798 P 02/03-04 100 70 53 19 94 N 8 8 2 1 E 8 762 N18 12116 P 02/03-05 100 70 53 17 100 N 8 8 2 1 E 7 763 N18 12434 P 02/03-06 100 70 53 17 100 N 8 8 2 1 E 6 884 N18 14641 P 02/03-07 100 70 53 16 100 N 8 8 2 1 NE 3 1005 N20 16847 P 02/03-08 100 70 53 17 100 N 8 8 2 1 NE 2 1126 NE20 19054 P 02/03-09 100 70 53 18 89 N 8 8 2 1 E 2 1822 NE18 26731 P 02/03-10 100 70 53 19 78 N 9 9 2 1 S 2 2517 NE16 34408 P 02/03-11 100 70 53 20 70 N 9 14 2 1 S 2 3213 NE15 42085 F 02/03-12 100 70 53 21 67 NE 9 9 2 1 SW 3 3790 NE13 41001 F 02/03-13 100 70 53 22 68 NE 8 8 2 1 W 6 4366 NE12 39917 P 02/03-14 100 70 53 22 70 NE 7 7 2 1 W 8 4943 NE 9 38833 P 02/03-15 100 70 53 22 71 NE 7 7 2 1 W 9 4433 NE 8 32026 P 02/03-16 100 70 53 21 73 N 6 6 2 1 W 9 3922 NE 7 25220 P 02/03-17 77 40 18 19 80 N 6 6 2 1 W 8 3412 NE 6 18413 P 02/03-18 77 40 18 16 93 N 5 5 2 1 W 6 2922 E 6 15731 P 02/03-19 77 40 18 16 99 N 5 5 2 1 W 3 2432 E 6 13050 P 02/03-20 77 40 18 15 100 N 3 3 2 1 W 2 1942 E 6 10368 P 02/03-21 77 40 18 15 100 N 3 3 2 1 W 3 1608 E 6 7878 P 02/03-22 77 40 18 14 100 N 3 3 2 1 S 6 1275 E 5 5387 P 02/03-23 58 20 4 14 100 N 3 3 2 1 SE 8 941 E 3 2896 P 02/04-00 58 20 4 13 100 N 3 3 2 1 S 9 817 E 3 2257 P 02/04-01 58 20 4 13 100 N 5 5 2 1 S10 694 NE 2 1618 P 02/04-02 58 20 4 13 100 NW 5 5 2 1 S10 570 NE 2 979 P 02/04-03 58 20 4 12 100 NW 5 5 2 1 S10 627 NE 2 1456 P 02/04-04 58 20 4 13 100 N 3 3 2 1 S10 685 NE 3 1934 P 02/04-05 53 23 5 12 100 N 2 2 2 1 S 9 743 E 3 2411 P 02/04-06 53 23 5 12 100 N 2 2 1 02/04-07 53 23 5 12 98 N 2 2 1 02/04-08 53 23 5 12 92 N 2 2 1 02/04-09 53 23 5 14 81 N 2 2 1 02/04-10 53 23 5 16 71 N 2 2 1 02/04-11 59 21 4 18 64 N 2 2 1 02/04-12 59 21 4 21 57 N 2 2 1 02/04-13 59 21 4 22 56 N 2 2 1 02/04-14 59 21 4 22 56 N 2 2 1 02/04-15 59 21 4 22 59 N 2 2 1 02/04-16 59 21 4 21 63 N 2 2 1 02/04-17 48 14 3 19 70 N 2 2 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120202.REYNO.01/BOU