FNUS75 KGJT 011825
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DALLA MOUNTAIN PARK...DURANGO FIRE & RESCUE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1125 AM MST WED FEB 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON FEBRUARY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING INTO THE 4 CORNERS REGION DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS ON THURSDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE
ACROSS SOUTHWEST COLORADO DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND PERSIST THROUGH
THE DAY. FAIRLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS IN THE AFTERNOON WILL HELP LIFT
MIXING HEIGHTS UP TO NEAR THE 5000 FT AGL LEVEL AS TEMPERATURES WARM
INTO THE MID 30S. WINDS HOWEVER IN THIS MIXED LAYER LOOK TO BE FAIRLY
LIGHT AND WILL KEEP SMOKE DISPERSAL LEVELS IN THE LOWER END OF
THE FAIR CATEGORY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THROUGH EARLY EVENING THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) BY MIDNIGHT.
                    SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....15 TO 19 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS AT 5 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO LESS THAN 1500 FT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY WINDS THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS
                    GRADUALLY TURNING TO THE SOUTH AT 5 MPH BY
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SOUTHWEST LATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH LATE MORNING...WITH LOW END FAIR
                    CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH MID MORNING INCREASING
                    TO NEAR 5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY NEAR 8 MPH THROUGH MID MORNING THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AT 10 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON...
                    THEN SOUTHWEST LATE.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...HAL DOUGHTY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120202.DALLA.01/GJT