FNUS75 KGJT 011726
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRE MOUNTAIN...MIFMU
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1026 AM MST WED FEB 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON FEBRUARY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL HAVE MOVED INTO THE AREA
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE BURN
SITE ON THURSDAY. THEN AS THE FIRST DISTURBANCE SHIFTS
EAST...ANOTHER IMPULSE WILL DROP SOUTHWARD BEHIND IT...PUTTING
WESTERN COLORADO BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS ON FRIDAY. THERE IS STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY IN WHERE THIS SECOND SYSTEM WILL BE LOCATED ON
FRIDAY...BUT LIGHT FLOW IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1100 MST...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 4-8 MPH. SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS
                    POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-41 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (32100 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...RYAN MCCULLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120202.FIREM.01/GJT