FNUS72 KILM 031352
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG ISLAND...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
852 AM EST FRI FEB 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE CAROLINAS FROM THE NORTH
AND REMAIN INTO SATURDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF UNSETTLED WEATHER LATE IN THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA
MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY...ENDING THE CHANCE OF RAINFALL.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-3900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 13 TO 20 MPH
                    UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING EAST
                    AROUND 7 MPH LATE.
MAX WAVE HEIGHT.....0 FEET.
MAX ADI.............64.
MAX LVORI...........4.

TIME (EST)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............2      3      3      4
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................54     58     58     54
RH..................39     35     35     43
20 FT WIND..........NE 7   NE 6   NE 5   E 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     10     10     5
LVORI...............1      1      1      2
ADI.................48     48     48     26
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MAX WAVE HEIGHT.....0 FEET.
MAX ADI.............26.
MAX LVORI...........10.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............6      9      12     25     31     38
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................49     42     39     38     36     35
RH..................54     73     81     87     92     97
20 FT WIND..........E 3    E 2    NE 2   NE 2   NE 2   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      5
LVORI...............2      3      4      6      6      8
ADI.................26     18     8      3      3      1
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0      0      0      0      0      0

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-3100 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX WAVE HEIGHT.....0 FEET.
MAX ADI.............28.
MAX LVORI...........10.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............54     61     68     75     79     87
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................35     38     49     55     60     60
RH..................100    100    70     60     54     58
20 FT WIND..........NE 2   SE 3   S 3    S 4    S 4    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....       5      5      5      5      10
LVORI...............10     9      3      2      2      2
ADI.................1      2      3      10     17     28
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...DIGIORGI
REQUESTED BY...ANGIE CARL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120203.BIGIS.01/ILM