FNUS72 KMHX 022340 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR BODIE ISLAND UNIT 1 5...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 640 PM EST THU FEB 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY AND SETTLE OVER THE REGION ON SATURDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION BY EARLY TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL AGAIN BUILD OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SEA BREEZE ON FRIDAY NEAR OREGON INLET IS LOOKING MINIMAL AS IT APPEARS THAT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO FORCE A NORTHERLY WIND ALL DAY THOUGH SPEEDS WILL BE DECREASING LATE. THERE IS A BETTER POTENTIAL FOR A SEA BREEZE FURTHER NORTH UP NEAR DUCK AFTER 2 PM WHERE THE GRADIENT WILL BE WEAKER. SMOKE DISPERSION FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BECOME POOR TO VERY POOR AS WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME CALM...ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE MAX LVORI HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 5 BUT THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR IT TO REACH 6 OR HIGHER LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO 15 MPH LATE. TIME (EST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............5 13 18 18 18 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................47 49 50 50 48 RH..................53 48 46 52 56 20 FT WIND..........N 17 N 17 N 15 N 14 N 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....26 26 25 25 20 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................35 61 54 44 33 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............19 18 13 19 22 25 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................47 46 45 45 44 44 RH..................58 60 70 70 76 76 20 FT WIND..........N 10 N 9 N 6 N 3 N 2 N 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 5 LVORI...............2 2 3 3 5 5 ADI.................28 18 8 4 3 2 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 4 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............25 29 42 62 72 80 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................44 44 48 50 51 52 RH..................73 73 65 66 68 69 20 FT WIND..........NW 4 NW 5 NW 5 NW 5 W 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 LVORI...............3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI.................2 2 3 13 10 5 HAINES INDEX........4 4 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...ELARDO REQUESTED BY...M WARD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120203.BODIE.01/MHX